1.   A white, establishment candidate in the Democratic primary was unexpectedly thrown last week into a runoff with an outspoken civil rights activist who is black.

2.   Bush, the establishment candidate, emphasized his religious beliefs from the start while avoiding almost until the end detailed comments on divisive issues like abortion.

3.   Bush partisans say the state usually backs the establishment candidate, while McCain supporters say the state is a haven for mavericks.

4.   But aging libertines and billionaire egoists always disappoint, and the country is left with two Ivy League scions, establishment candidates powdering the middle class.

5.   But Gore is not the establishment candidate for nothing.

6.   For GOP voters who want a solid establishment candidate, the obvious choice is Bush.

7.   Four years later, another anti-war candidate, George McGovern, finished a strong second to the establishment candidate, Edmund S. Muskie.

8.   He quickly emerged as an establishment candidate favored by businesspeople, many minority leaders and local politicians, including Kirk.

9.   However, after the voters took a good look at some of those surprise upstarts, they appear to have closed ranks behind the original establishment candidate.

10.   In past elections, the greatest threat to establishment Republican candidates in this state has come from candidates who appeal to social and religious conservatives.