1.   And in six of those, the incumbent party lost.

2.   And yes, the incumbent party deserves credit.

3.   And voters appear to turn against the incumbent party when they believe their situation has worsened.

4.   Are the disgruntled independents so skeptical that they give thumbs down to any incumbent party?

5.   Are the disgruntled independents so deeply skeptical of the two parties that they give thumbs down to any incumbent ruling party?

6.   As the standard-bearer of the incumbent party, he should have long since locked up this election.

7.   A certain group of voters finally confronts the question of whether the country is doing as well under the incumbent party as it can reasonably be expected to do.

8.   A presidential elections is, as the keys suggest, primarily a referendum on the performance of the incumbent party.

9.   A rising market indicates optimism, and such a good feeling can benefit the incumbent party.

10.   But he could still form a crucial swing vote between a Megawati-Wahid alliance and an alliance built around the incumbent party, Golkar.