21. The forward yield curve is a plot of forward rates against term to maturity. 22. The annuity yield curve is a plot of annuity yields against term to maturity. 23. The rolling yield curve is a plot of rolling yields against term to maturity. 24. In this section, we consider some theories underlying the yield curve or the term structure of interest rates. 25. A falling yield curve is explained by investors expecting short-term rates to be lower in the future. 26. A humped yield curve is explained by investors expecting short-term interest rates to rise and long-term rates to fall. 27. When the inflation rate is expected to remain constant over time, the normal position of the yield curve is to be upward-sloping. 28. The expectations hypothesis by itself is insufficient to explain this, since under constant inflationary expectations, the expectations hypothesis predicts a flat yield curve. 29. A rising yield curve can be explained by liquidity preference theory. 30. A humped yield curve is explained by the combination of a descending yield curve plus an upward-sloping liquidity preference curve. |